Australia vs India 3rd ODI: A trademark Dhoni finish ensured that India levelled the series with one game to go. The series decider will take place at Melbourne with Australia eying to win an ODI series after a long span.
India, on the other hand, would want to win the third match and thereby achieve a rare feat of winning a test and ODI series down under.
Australia has left out Jason Behrendorff and Nathan Lyon for the series decider. Behrendorff will miss the match due to a back soreness while Nathan Lyon has been dropped after two mediocre performances. Adam Zampa and Billy Stanlake have been included as their replacements. Kane Richardson has also been drafted into the squad as a cover bowler.
India may make few changes in their playing XI. The probable change could be bringing in an all-rounder in place of Ambati Rayudu who looked out of touch in both the matches. Kedhar Jadhav and Vijay Shankar may fight for the number 6 spot.
Since 2016 the average first innings score in Melbourne Cricket Ground is 270. Batting becomes a bit easier in the second innings, as you can see in the below table that a batsman is dismissed every 37 balls in the first innings whereas it takes 41 balls to dismiss a batsman in the second.
Out of the four matches played here since 2016 the team batting first has won just once while the teams batting second have won 3 times.
Head to Head at MCG since 2010:
Left Arm Pacers have the best record on this ground:
Since 2016 the left-arm pacers have taken wickets every 27 balls on this ground. More importantly, they have been economical too as you can see the % of dot balls bowled by them. But unfortunately, the only left-arm pacer Jason Behrendorff who featured in the last match is out of the series decider due to back soreness.
The second best have been the left arm orthodox bowlers who have taken wickets every 5 overs. The only left-arm orthodox bowler playing in tomorrow’s match is Ravindra Jadeja.
Fantasy Combination for Tomorrow’s Game (Australia vs India 3rd ODI)
The leading wicket-taker of the series Bhuvneshwar Kumar has come to his own. He took 4 wickets in the match and helped contain the scoring when the Australian batsmen seemed to have gathered some momentum. He used the knuckleball to good effect and got the better of Maxwell and Shaun Marsh in one over.
Why he was so successful? He bowled all these balls outside the off-stump which made it difficult for the batsmen to generate any power behind the shot.
In the above graph we have taken only the fast bowlers whose average speed is more than 130, therefore, Marcus Stoinis misses out
Jhye Richardson has been massively impressive. He picked 4 wickets in the first match after conceding only 26 runs in his allotted 10 overs. Although he did not pick wickets in the second match he was able to tie down the batsmen.
In the first ODI, although he was getting less assistance from the pitch his accuracy troubled the Indian top order.
Surprisingly in the second ODI, he got more assistance from the pitch but wasn’t so effective because he was not hitting the stumps frequently.
The ball which got Rayudu lbw was bowled at 149.17 Kmph. Rayudu was caught on the crease and was beaten by sheer pace.
39 and counting!!!! Another century for King Kohli while chasing. He now has 24 centuries under his belt while chasing for India. India will once again depend on him if they are to chase at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Shaun Marsh scored a brilliant hundred in the last ODI helping his team reach a fighting total. He is going through a purple patch in the ODI format. In his last five matches, he has scored two centuries & therefore becomes an obvious pick.
India’s hitman – Rohit Sharma, scored a century in the first match but in a losing cause. He has a batting average of 83 in Australia since 2014. He’s got to feature in your fantasy 11.
Glenn Maxwell had the most impact among the all-rounder’s who played the second match. He not only scored 48 runs with a strike rate of 129 but also dismissed Rayudu.
Marcus Stoinis looked well settled at the crease but got out while pulling a ball that was not so short. He even took the all-important wicket of Rohit Sharma.
If we look at the ground’s history, Ravindra Jadeja is a hot pick. Although he has taken only two wickets he’s conceded only 4.8 runs per over after two games.
I, as a fantasy player, would choose Marcus Stoinis and Glenn Maxwell for two reasons. i) Both get an opportunity to bat and roll their arms. ii)Jadeja bats too low down the order – unless there is an Indian top order collapse there is no chance for Ravindra Jadeja to bat.
MS Dhoni has now scored back to back half centuries which includes a match-winning knock as well. He played sensibly when Virat Kohli got out and in his trademark style, took the game to the very last over. With quality bowlers in India’s ranks, catches/ stumpings are also a high possibility.
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